Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.008301 0.009742 0.011467 0.013718 0.016626 0.020330 0.025528
2025-09-14 0.006216 0.007834 0.009984 0.013150 0.017886 0.025063 0.037588
2025-09-21 0.005236 0.006914 0.009305 0.013143 0.019559 0.030777 0.054667
2025-09-28 0.004721 0.006479 0.009135 0.013735 0.022255 0.039426 0.084999
2025-10-05 0.004459 0.006341 0.009347 0.014958 0.026515 0.053805 0.149456
2025-10-12 0.004127 0.006029 0.009200 0.015477 0.029604 0.068043 0.247532
2025-10-19 0.003748 0.005580 0.008730 0.015241 0.030914 0.078765 0.370646
2025-10-26 0.003483 0.005284 0.008476 0.015372 0.033199 0.095116 0.630268
2025-11-02 0.003212 0.004942 0.008081 0.015100 0.034314 0.108813 1.025243
2025-11-09 0.002909 0.004514 0.007465 0.014199 0.033284 0.112626 1.377572
2025-11-16 0.002667 0.004172 0.006974 0.013500 0.032646 0.118182 1.970999
2025-11-23 0.002544 0.004032 0.006867 0.013699 0.034999 0.143653 4.953088
2025-11-30 0.002355 0.003771 0.006514 0.013302 0.035506 0.162139 13.362058
2025-12-07 0.002173 0.003508 0.006130 0.012764 0.035370 0.177807 48.826532
2025-12-14 0.002055 0.003356 0.005961 0.012758 0.037327 0.217739 87953.924971
2025-12-21 0.001993 0.003303 0.005996 0.013325 0.042106 0.309753 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001973 0.003333 0.006216 0.014498 0.050828 0.537489 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001911 0.003268 0.006213 0.014995 0.056826 0.827640 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001813 0.003123 0.006000 0.014768 0.058597 1.057237 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001742 0.003028 0.005899 0.014894 0.062847 1.567702 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001659 0.002900 0.005698 0.014633 0.064384 2.063348 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001552 0.002717 0.005347 0.013770 0.061022 2.047550 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001463 0.002564 0.005061 0.013100 0.058802 2.147105 NaN